Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.726036 2.000025 2.283698 2.597867 2.934669 3.283609 3.671181
2024-12-29 1.315391 1.699977 2.120416 2.607992 3.152169 3.735792 4.404193
2025-01-05 1.093461 1.532726 2.031983 2.629037 3.312544 4.060986 4.933422
2025-01-12 0.885775 1.353810 1.907469 2.589683 3.389369 4.281530 5.337654
2025-01-19 0.804393 1.312780 1.932106 2.711384 3.639554 4.687828 5.941099
2025-01-26 0.741090 1.285273 1.966024 2.838328 3.891427 5.092935 6.541042
2025-02-02 0.695258 1.273817 2.014698 2.978903 4.156125 5.510463 7.153445
2025-02-09 0.664510 1.278194 2.080169 3.137641 4.440806 5.950234 7.791014
2025-02-16 0.611583 1.245611 2.093738 3.228555 4.641382 6.289879 8.311618
2025-02-23 0.541860 1.181520 2.060728 3.256679 4.762471 6.533501 8.718712
2025-03-02 0.439469 1.057048 1.938566 3.164330 4.730424 6.591243 8.904864
2025-03-09 0.362345 0.961938 1.849590 3.109200 4.739832 6.694805 9.141696
2025-03-16 0.294568 0.876554 1.773689 3.074382 4.781124 6.845996 9.447640
2025-03-23 0.253225 0.831618 1.753557 3.113131 4.915869 7.111979 9.892811
2025-03-30 0.211826 0.779242 1.717685 3.126715 5.015335 7.332316 10.281027
2025-04-06 0.165089 0.706865 1.645848 3.086682 5.042693 7.462034 10.558895
2025-04-13 0.156649 0.713875 1.697584 3.219538 5.295491 7.870908 11.174526
2025-04-20 0.150199 0.724262 1.754339 3.359472 5.557814 8.292074 11.805765
2025-04-27 0.146694 0.740827 1.820933 3.513541 5.839083 8.737341 12.466982
2025-05-04 0.146742 0.765675 1.901133 3.687388 6.146943 9.216389 13.170071
2025-05-11 0.134910 0.759673 1.929831 3.786754 6.356037 9.572107 13.723345
2025-05-18 0.114131 0.726852 1.911980 3.817483 6.473069 9.812001 14.135121
2025-05-25 0.079495 0.645416 1.806498 3.716560 6.411478 9.825401 14.268442